Adding an in-house communication service known as âChatMe,â a cryptocurrency exchange (Huione Crypto), and US dollar-backed stablecoin (âUSDHâ) suggests that Huione Guarantee is looking to become a truly full-service, self-sufficient platform. The website for USDH, the Elliptic researchers say, describes it as ânot restrictedâ by regulators around the world and says that it âavoids the common freezing and transfer restrictionsâ that can be applied to other cryptocurrencies.
In its work last year, Elliptic found that in the first three years of its operation, Huione Guarantee sellers moved around $11 billion on the platform. Less than a year later, the researchers now estimate that cumulative total to be $24 billion. The platformâs various expansions are all contributing to the increase, but ultimately its escrow and transfer services are the core service.
âWith Huione Guarantee, the primary thing being sold is actually laundering of the proceeds of online scams,â Robinson alleges. âThe vast majority of the funds that are going through the marketplace is in relation to vendors that are openly offering money laundering services who talk about the types of fraud proceeds that theyâre willing to accept.â
Meanwhile, as business booms, the researchers say that the platformâs owner, Huione Group, has worked to downplay its association with the marketplace and the connection between Huione Guarantee and other linked services, like Huione Pay. The marketplace has even been rebranded as âHaowang Guarantee,â though Huione Group confirmed to the researchers that Huione Guarantee is still a âstrategic partner and shareholder.â
âThe Huione Guarantee Group on Telegram continues to be used extensively, with over 139,000 users,â says Jason Tower, the country director for Myanmar at the United States Institute of Peace. âTelegram groups are used to move large sums of cryptocurrencies at a significant discount. By comparison, competing platforms have lost a significant number of users. This is likely a result of crackdowns by the Chinese government.â
Robinson says an initial analysis from Elliptic has found around $6 billion passing through one Telegram bot that is allegedly âused primarily for online gambling on Huione Guarantee.â The researchersâ analysis suggests this may also be allegedly linked to money laundering. Users deposit crypto into a wallet and then can move their balance into individual minigames that exist in their own Telegram groups. The âgamesâ are extremely rudimentary, though, and donât seem to involve any skill. Players also tend to bet consistently over very long periods of time, wager similar amounts, and leave precise intervals between their bets. All of this âtogether suggests automated gambling for the purposes of money laundering rather than entertainment,â Robinson alleges.
In spite of Huione Guaranteeâs apparent too-big-to-fail strategy, the Elliptic researchers say that the platform is far from being totally self-sufficient. So far, Huioneâs stablecoin and cryptocurrency exchange have failed to register significant volumes of transactions, Robinson says, despite some promotion within its existing communications channels. As the marketplace works to push the transition, its ongoing reliance on third parties could still be a weaknessâat least for now.
âHuione Guarantee is still dependent on certain centralized infrastructure, Tether and Telegram,â Robinson says. âI think there is an opportunity now to suppress it through those service providers. I think if we wait too long, then there is a chance that they move to their own infrastructure and that becomes more challenging.â